ByAlan G. Forsythe, writer at
Alan Forsythe is a Vancouver based journalist turned playwright/novelist/filmmaker.

The Oscar nominations are in and other than no nomination for Tom Hanks and nothing for the Coen brothers they're pretty much exactly what I would have predicted (honestly).

But who cares about the nominees, it's all about the winners (oh ya I know, it's an honour just to be nominated, pffft, that's what losers say). So without further ado here they are, the surefire, take it to the bank Moviepilot Oscar picks:

Best Supporting Actor:

  • Barkhad Abdi
  • Bradley Cooper
  • Michael Fassbender
  • Jonah Hill
  • Jared Leto

And the Oscar goes to - Bradley Cooper! That's right the Bradster, co-star of the Hangover films has made some good choices on projects, not the least of which being Silver Linings Playbook, which has earned him a lot of notice in Hollywood, expect it to pay off this year.

Best Supporting Actress:

  • Sally Hawkins
  • Jennifer Lawrence
  • Lupita Nyong'o
  • Julia Roberts
  • June Squibb

And the winner is? Either Lupita Nyong'o or Jennifer Lawrence and my feeling is with the big Jennifer Lawrence love in that's been going on lately she will be the one to snag the Oscar.

Best Actor:

  • Christian Bale
  • Bruce Dern
  • Leonardo De Caprio
  • Chiwetel Ejiofor
  • Matthew McConaughey

This is perhaps the toughest category to predict. In past years it would be a Bruce Dern slamdunk, but the academy has moved away from awarding veteran actors Oscars based more on their body of work than the role (i.e John Wayne for True Grit over Dustin Hoffman in Midnight Cowboy). So with both Chiwetel Ejiofor and Matthew McConaughey (who could have been nominated in a supporting role for Mud as well) very serious contenders for the golden statuette who will take it home and who will be left mouthing 'that bastard' (ala' Anne Bancroft). And the winner is - Matthew McConaughey, as much as I might be rooting for Dern who's been an almost tragically overlooked actor for much of his career, McConaughey has just been having too much of a stellar year to be overlooked. Not to mention his performance in Dallas Buyer's Club is deserving.

Best Actress:

  • Amy Adams
  • Cate Blanchett
  • Sandra Bullock
  • Judi Dench
  • Meryl Streep

And the Oscar goes to Sandra Bullock. Many are predicting Cate Blanchett and she really is the only other serious contender, but I just don't think the Academy will be able to over look how good a 50 year-old woman can look in boyshorts. On a side note this marks Meryl Streep's 1,678,395th Academy Award nomination - you go girl!

Best Cinematography:

  • The Grandmaster
  • Gravity
  • Inside Llewyn Davis
  • Nebraska
  • Prisoners

And the winner is - Nebraska...seriously. I know many think Gravity's stunning visuals make it a lock for this award, but special effects aside Nebraska's stunning black and white photography make it the [very] deserving winner.

Best Editing:

  • American Hustle
  • Captain Phillips
  • Dallas Buyers Club
  • Gravity
  • 12 Years a Slave

And the winner is - 12 Years a Slave.

Best Original Screenplay:

  • American Hustle
  • Blue Jasmine
  • Dallas Buyer's Club
  • Her
  • Nebraska

I'd say this is between American Hustle and Nebraska and I think the Academy will continue its tradition of handing out the screenplay award as consolation prize, meaning it will go to Nebraska.

Best Adapted Screenplay:

  • Before Midnight
  • Captain Phillips
  • Philomena
  • 12 Years a Slave
  • The Wolf of Wall Street

This one is easy - 12 Years a Slave wins the Oscar in this category hands down.

Best Song:

  • Alone yet Not Alone
  • Happy
  • Let it Go
  • The Moon Song
  • Ordinary Love

To be honest I'm too angry that not one single song (out of several) from Inside Llewyn Davis was nominated to care about this category, so I'll say Ordinary Love.

Best Animated Feature:

  • The Croods
  • Despicable Me 2
  • Ernest and Celestine
  • Frozen
  • The Wind Rises

And the winner is - Frozen, because who else are they going to give it to?

Best Director:

  • David O'Russell
  • Alfonso Cuaron
  • Alexander Payne
  • Steve McQueen
  • Martin Scorcese

Often the Best Director Oscar precedes Best Picture, but not always and less so in recent years (Best Editing is actually a better predictor of the eventual Best Picture winner). There's many serious contenders in most of the big award races this year, but perhaps none more so than for the best Director nod. However I think it comes down to David O'Russell, Steve McQueen and Alexander Payne. All three have impressive resumes and are deserving based on their current work. And the winner is - David O'Russell, he's been close a few times both as a writer and director and it certainly feels like his year.

Best Picture:

  • American Hustle
  • Captain Philips
  • Dallas Buyers Club
  • Gravity
  • Her
  • Nebraska
  • Philomena
  • 12 Years a Slave
  • Wolf of Wall Street

I hate, hate that the Academy has expanded the Best Picture category to as many as 10 films in a effort to include more also rans. However that said, what the hell did the Cohen brothers do to get snubbed by the Academy? I mean if you're going to go to 10 why not throw in (the very deserving) Inside Llewyn Davis, but no instead they said, 'nine's good let's just go with nine this year,' ouch. So who wins the big prize? I consider the real five contenders to be Gravity, Nebraska, Dallas Buyer's Club, American Hustle and 12 Years a Slave. And the winner is - 12 Years a Slave. If you've been paying attention you would have got that my prediction of Best Editing foretold this win, huh, anyone, anyone catch that? Whatever. So yes, I think David O'Russell gets Best Director as the consolation prize and 12 Years takes Best Picture.

One last prediction: watch for Martin Freeman (The Hobbit) starring film The Voorman Problem win best Short Live Action Film.


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