Will Win: Gravity or 12 Years a Slave
Could Win: American Hustle
It's definitely a three-way battle for Best Picture but I think it's between Gravity and 12 Years a Slave. 12 Years a Slave has been winning everywhere but hasn't performed strong in the other categories. For example, at the Globes, it only won Best Drama Film and nothing else. Then at the BAFTA's, it only won Best Actor and Best Film. Maybe there isn't that much support for it. Since the voting for Best Picture is a different process, I'm kind of leaning more towards Gravity.
Will Win: Alfonso Cuarón (Gravity)
Could Win: Steve McQueen (12 Years a Slave)
Cuarón definitely has this one in the bag. He's been winning everywhere and he deserves all of the praise too. What makes this race confusing is that Best Picture and Best Director rarely are for different films. Last year was a weird coincidence considering Ben Affleck wasn't nominated despite winning everywhere. If Cuarón wins here, this could mean that Gravity could pull out a win.
Will Win: Matthew McConaughey
Could Win: Leonardo DiCaprio
Although Leo does deserve an Oscar, McConaughey has the momentum and the praise to win. Dallas Buyers Club got six nominations including Best Picture. Had it not been nominated, Leo's chances would be better. I could see a Leo sneak attack, but McConaughey is very far in front.
Will Win: Cate Blanchett or Amy Adams
Could Win: Sandra Bullock
Although Blanchett has been winning everywhere, I could see Adams pulling out a win. She is the only one in the category to never win and her film has a ton of support. Cate does have the momentum, but the scandal with Woody Allen hurts her. A vote for Cate could be seen as a vote for Woody. Bullock was fantastic but the amazing effects take away from her performance.
Best Supporting Actor:
Will Win: Jared Leto
Could Win: Barkhad Abdi
I'm already expecting Leto's name to be called. He was spectacular in the film and has been winning everywhere. However, due to the film not opening in time, it was not nominated at the BAFTA's. Abdi surprisingly won there over front-runner, Michael Fassbender. Abdi's story is great and he is a newcomer to film. However, Leto's performance is too great to be beat in this category.
Best Supporting Actress:
Will Win: Lupita Nyong'o
Could Win: Jennifer Lawrence
One of the closest races this year, but I think Nyong'o is going to pull it out. Nyong'o has been talked about all award season for her performance and beauty. She has the newcomer thing going for her and the SAG win helps her. Lawrence, on the other, is one of the biggest stars in the world and has won the Globe and BAFTA this year. However, since she won last year, the Academy probably won't give it to her two years in a row.
Best Adapted Screenplay:
Will Win: 12 Years a Slave
Could Win: Before Midnight or Philomena
12 Years a Slave is the clear front-runner. It has the support and is a very powerful story. Before Midnight is a fan-favorite and was nominated last time for its screenplay. Philomena actually beat 12 Years a Slave at the BAFTA's but that is mostly because it's adapted by two British actors/writers. I'll be extremely shocked if 12 Years a Slave loses.
Best Original Screenplay:
Will Win: Her
Could Win: American Hustle
Her, one of the best pictures of the year in my opinion, totally deserves this one. Since it surprisingly won at the Globes and WGA's, its chances of winning is high. However, American Hustle has an overwhelming amount of support from the Oscars and that could help it win here.