When it was first announced that [Captain America: The Winter Soldier](movie:254973) would open on April 4, some questioned the wisdom of the move - citing the fact that April, along with September and October - is one of the slowest months of the year at the box-office.
Well, whoever made that decision is looking pretty smart right about now.
Based on advance ticket sales, it looks like Captain America: The Winter Soldier will likely score the biggest April opening weekend of all time.
According to "The Hollywood Reporter", "Captain America: The Winter Solider" is the top-selling April release in terms of advance ticket sales in the fourteen year history of Fandango. It’s an impressive feat, considering the previous record holder was "Fast Five", which had an $86.2 million opening weekend in 2011.
"Captain America: The Winter Soldier" is projected to take in at least $90 million in its opening weekend in North America. I'm betting positive buzz about the movie will propel the number to above $100 million. Marvel Studios films have a history of doing exceptionally well on weekends, when family audiences turn out in droves at theaters.
Beyond that, "Captain America: The Winter Soldier" will have four weekends without any serious competition
"Captain America: The Winter Soldier" is, of course, the third follow-up to 2012's "The Avengers", which seems to have broadened the appeal of all the superheroes that were part of that film.
At the domestic box office, [Iron Man 3](movie:24391) improved 31 percent over its predecessor, while "Thor: The Dark World" was up a more modest 14 percent.Compared to the Thor sequel, Captain America's has a more interesting story, a stronger release date, and better reviews (currently over 90 percent on Rotten Tomatoes). Therefore, look for Captain America to more closely mirror Iron Man' s pattern, which would put it at around $230 million total.
Of course, that was with a projected $90 million opening weekend. If "Captain America: The Winter Soldier" can pull off a $100 million opening weekend, it could end up with a total domestic box-office of over $250 million.
The only negative is that many industry observers did not feel the patriotic Captain America would play as well overseas and that it would be surprising if the movie matched " [Thor: The Dark World](movie:206462)" with $438 million overseas.
However, even here the early news for "Captain America: The Winter Soldier" is very good. Having opened early overseas, it has already exceeded $100 million at the international box office.
"Captain America: The First Avenger" opened to $65 million at the U.S. box office in July 2011, and " [Captain America: The Winter Soldier](movie:254973)" should crush the opening weekend of the first film.
Not too bad for an April release.