With all the talk of a "dead" summer at the domestic box-office and headlines that 2014 was off 5% dollars wise and the lowest-attended year at cineplexes since 1995, everyone is putting forth theories as to why Holywood had an off year domestically.
One thing that is NOT to blame - though it's usually reflexively scapegoated - is ticket prices. The average ticket price of $8.12 is actually a penny lower than the 2013 average ticket price of $8.13.
No, the main culprit - despite all the babble - is that an inordinate amount of films that were originally scheduled to open theatrically in 2014 were moved to 2015.
Because it's not like 2014 was terrible or sign of a steep decline. It was the sixth straight year in which the domestic box-office topped $10 billion.
When, you analyze it, 2014's total of $10.3479 billion in ticket sales is only $575.7 million behind 2013's record total of $10.9236 billion.
Which might sound like a lot, but not really. Especially when you consider TWENTY-FIVE films moved from an original 2014 date to 2015 - including some guaranteed blockbusters.
Fifty Shades of Grey - Now on the schedule for February 13, 2015, a lot of people forget, this film was originally scheduled for August 1, 2014 - the same date as "Guardians of the Galaxy". Given the extreme popularity of the book and that 40 million people have viewed the first trailer, it is almost a guarantee that the film would at least done as well as "Magic Mike". which opened to $39 million and finished with $113 million.
However,given the massive popularity of the source material, it would not be a huge surprise if this movie did as well - or even better - than the "Twilight" series, which grossed $192 million, $296 million, $300 million, $281 million and $292 million domestically.
Jupiter Ascending - Now on the schedule for February 6, 2015, this film was originally scheduled for July 18, 2014. Though the Wachowskis have yet to capture their "Matrix" box-office magic, with good buzz and box-office behemoth Channing Tatum - and Mila Kunis - attached, there is every reason to believe this film could come close to $100 million domestically.
Furious 7 - Now on the schedule for April 3, 2015, the latest offering from this series was originally scheduled for July 11, 2014. The last three installments have reached franchise highs in domestic box office, topped by the $238 million generated by "Fast & Furious 6".
With that trend, plus the addition of Jason Statham to this installment, it is very likely "Furious 7" could make as much as $250 million or more domestically.
Tomorrowland - Now on the schedule for May 22, 2015, this film was originally scheduled for December 12, 2014. The Disney brand alone makes this almost a guaranteed hit. Toss in George Clooney, an appearance at New York Comic-Con and Brad Bird , the director of "The Incredibles" and "Mission Impossible - Ghost Protocol" and it's almost a certainty that this would have been at least a $100 million film, especially opening against "Exodus: Gods and Kings", which is now a certified flop.
The Good Dinosaur - Now on the schedule for November 25, 2015, this film was originally scheduled for May 30, 2014.
The schedule switch left 2014 as the first year since 2005 without a Pixar offering.
It's also worth noting that if "The Good Dinosaur" had stayed on it's original date, Angelina Jolie's "Maleficent" would have stayed on it's original date and propped up what was an incredible weak Fourth of July Weekend.
This film would likely have been a license to print money.
While it may not have reached the heights of the $415 milllion "Toy Story 3" earned domestically, seeing as how even the much maligned "Cars 2" generated $191 million domestically, it is almost a certainty that "The Good Dinosaur" would gross close to $250 million domestically.
Minions - Now on the schedule for July 10, 2015, this film was originally scheduled for December 19, 2014.
Given the vast popularity of the "Despicable Me" franchise and that "Despicable Me 2" was the fourth-highest grossing film of 2013 with a $368 million domestic haul and an $83 million opening weekend, there is little doubt that "minions" would have dominated this past Holiday Season, especially when you consider that the opening weekend for "Despicable Me 2" alone was almost more than the second week of "The Hobbit: Battle of the Five Armies ", "Night At The Museum: Secret of the Tomb" and "Annie" earned in their initial weekend, on December 19-21 COMBINED!
So no, in conclusion, the sky isn't falling.
In fact, with these offerings bolstering an already formidable 2015 schedule, it is a slam-dunk that 2015 will be a record-breaking year!