Should Be: [Boyhood](movie:989626)
The Best Picture front-runner is one of the hardest predictions to argue against. Had Boyhood been a flop, it still would have gained mass respect due to its ambitious experiment with time. You've heard it before, and I will repeat it, "It's like nothing you've ever experienced." Then, no matter how unlikely it was, it turned out to be a decent movie? A "masterpiece" even? On top of its new strategy of film-making? Yeah. The Academy has been drooling over it for over half a year now. And nobody should blame them, either!
Prediction: Richard Linklater (Boyhood)
Should Be: Alejandro González Iñárritu (Birdman)
Best Director is often seen as Best Picture's runner up. So, since we've decided Boyhood is to win Best Picture, Birdman is the obvious second place. But Linklater's twelve year film scheme is likely to be recognized, too, knowing the academy. They'll think they need to specify his ambition is what won him Best Picture, by handing him the Best Director trophy as well. This would be criminal. To quote Billy Eichner, "My grandmother could make a movie if you gave her twelve years and Patricia Arquette." Birdman's feature length tracking shot, Iñárritu's idea, with the help of Gravity's cinematographer, is something much more difficult to achieve. Tonally, plot-wise, and character-wise, Birdman is more unique and tells a more interesting story. Birdman deserves recognition for its direction if Boyhood gets Best Picture.
Prediction: Eddie Redmayne
Should Be: Benedict Cumberbatch
This choice will be a little controversial, but hear me out. A good actor goes unnoticed, for they convince you they are the actual human being they are playing. Eddie Redmayne did that fantastically. A great actor pulls you into the story and the character, making you feel every emotion along with him/her. That is what Cumberbatch did with his performance in The Imitation Game. His portrayal of Alan Turing had me right there with him every single beat. I cried with him, laughed with him, felt his confidence, etc. Benedict Cumberbatch deserves it over Eddie Redmayne, I'm sorry.
Prediction: Julianne Moore
Should Be: Julianne Moore
I am not a Julianne Moore fan. Well, I didn't used to be. Still Alice changed that. Moore made the audience understand a misunderstood character. She was able to use subtleties to paint the picture of a disease that is anything but subtle. It is these dynamics that make Julianne Moore the most obvious 2015 Academy Award Winner.
Best Adapted Screenplay
Should Be: Gone Girl
I won't argue against Whiplash's quality. In fact, [Gone Girl](movie:833123) isn't even nominated, so I hope Whiplash wins. But, I had to talk about Gone Girl. It was written by the author of the book. What does she know about screen writing? Apparently a whole bunch, because the way that movie was written may have just been the best thing about it. She created a story on screen that you could completely dive into, despite the fact that the characters were intentionally hard to relate to or care for. That's an achievement. It is hard to love a story when there's nobody to root for in it. The creepy, surprise stuffed, dark-humored nature carried the film, and we have Gillian Flynn to thank. Well, apparently the Academy doesn't.
Best Original Screenplay
Should Be: [Birdman](movie:780317)
Birdman has to win. If it doesn't win Best Director, then it will most definitely win this baby. It won the Golden Globe, which Academy voters sometimes look to when they don't have a strong opinion. The characters were some of the best on film in the past decade. The jokes thrown away at the audience were written perfectly. The message about criticism (not just of art, but of anything and anyone) made you think about your own life. Such an obscure movie was so relatable, and that's why Birdman deserves Best Original Screenplay.