The 5th Wave debuted in most theaters worldwide on January 22, 2016. With The Hunger Games bowing out and both The Maze Runner and Divergent series' nearing the end of their successful runs, many were hoping that The 5th Wave would launch the new "wave" of Young Adult science fiction book-to-film adaptations. I still don't see how that has changed.
Because of its modest domestic Box-Office takings, some people have been quick to write The 5th Wave off. But if we really analyze everything that has happened with the film, I think it's clear that this franchise still has a lot of fight left in it and could very well see its sequels come to fruition. Based on the novel by Rick Yancey, The 5th Wave is the first in a trilogy of books, with the final one, The Last Star released this year. Thus, there are many fans out there who want to see the big-screen adaptations of these novels. With #WeWantTheInfiniteSea trending on twitter in many countries last weekend, here are 7 Reasons why it just might become a reality:
The International Numbers
Much like the case with 2015's, Terminator: Genisys, The 5th Wave may have had a lukewarm opening domestically, but it's worldwide numbers have been the saving grace. So far, the film has grossed over $65 million Internationally, that's over 68% of it's takings. Unlike Terminator, The 5th Wave has the disadvantage of not being part of an epic franchise but instead, being the franchise opener. However, thanks to the International takings, the film's total now stands at: $95,654,658. The fact that the film is a Science Fiction/Disaster film gave it a great advantage in what was otherwise a slow month at the box office. The genre made sure that the film's worldwide appeal was greater than the appeal of much of its opening competition such as Dirty Grandpa. Furthermore, the film's total takings should pass $100 million this weekend and it's not likely to just stop. Not bad for a film that many had been predicting to flop before it was even released.
It Has Almost Tripled Its Budget
This is perhaps the most important point. A film is considered a box-office flop if its takings don't match or barely match the money spent on making it. Thus, the company loses money. However, this is not the case here as The 5th Wave has almost TRIPLED its budget. The first point I should make here is that The 5th Wave had a respectable, modest budget of $38 million. Now, in today's day and age, Science Fiction/Disaster films are notorious for having much larger scale budgets. For example, Terminator Genisys had a budget of $155 million and San Andreas had a budget of $110 million. Now with many of these Sci-Fi films having much larger budgets, one might think that The 5th Wave's modest budget was a tactical move by Sony. By having such a low budget for a disaster film, The 5th Wave would have had to significantly bomb in order to fail to win back its budget. But thankfully, that did not happen. The film has almost surpassed it's budget on it's US takings alone, which currently stand at: $30,354,658. However, like I said before, thanks to the film's international success, its global takings are now at an impressive $95,654,65 and thus, it has nearly tripled it's budget.
Sony Knowingly Released the film in January
January is a notoriously slow month at the box office. There is no way that Sony would have willingly released a possible "next big thing" in January and then been shocked by its progress. No. They definitely predicted the slow takings. Furthermore, the film performed as expected (if not slightly better) on it's opening weekend. Even with the blizzard, the film still managed to debut at Number 6 and take in over $10 million. Not bad considering that some analysts had predicted $8 million.
With the rights to the trilogy, there is no way that Sony should be shocked by its numbers if they willingly released it in January. Thus, the chances of a sequel are still very high.
It's Outlasting Its Opening Competition
Over the past week, The 5th Wave has hung around in the domestic chart, dancing just outside of the Top 10 zone. However, recently, it has managed to re-enter itself in the Top 10, ahead of its opening competition Dirty Grandpa and even newer entries like Pride & Prejudice & Zombies. Although the likes of Dirty Grandpa had moderately higher openings, it hasn't maintained its own success like The 5th Wave, which now continues to gross considerably higher every day, despite being screened in less theaters.
This could be nearly as important as the ticket sales. The 5th Wave is an incredibly marketable franchise. Of course, as it is a brand new film serving as the opening to the franchise, all of its potential fans may not discover the film during its initial release. When it is eventually released on DVD, Blu-Ray and Digital, expect to see it surge to the top of the home-entertainment charts and a gain whole new array of 'Wavers'. More sales means more fans.
Furthermore, Chloe Grace Moretz is set to star in a live action adaptation of Disney's The Little Mermaid next year. This will easily be a success, thus, expect the incredible Moretz to earn herself an even larger fanbase than she already has. More fans means more sales. Nick Robinson has also amassed quite the fanbase as well, some from The 5th Wave, some from Jurassic World and others from Melissa & Joey. These actors' allegiances of fans continue to grow each day and this will do the possible The 5th Wave sequel a lot of favors. So whether it be word-of-mouth, DVD buys, iTunes offers or fanbases, expect the appeal of The 5th Wave to continue to grow.
It Continues to Defy Expectations
I remember checking all the box office websites prior to The 5th Wave's release. One of them had estimated that the film's total domestic takings would be $32 million. Now, here we are, almost a month on and the film has grossed $30.3 million domestically. It continues to gross around $300,000-$500,000 daily as well as a few million over the weekend. Thus, it's pretty evident that The 5th Wave will outdo those original projections. Like I said earlier, it also outdid some experts' estimations of an $8 million opening by grossing over $10 million. Moreover, I have been watching the weekend estimations each week (estimated by experts in their field) and comparing them to the final numbers released and The 5th Wave continues to outdo these estimations, consistently earning another few thousand per day over the weekend than the initial projections estimated. Eventually, all that money will add up. Furthermore, it continues to do this despite being screened in less theaters than much of it's competition.
But Wait...There's More!
The waves aren't over yet. As The 5th Wave continues to bring in modest takings domestically and much larger numbers internationally, it will most certainly get yet another boost in the coming weeks. It has yet to be released in quite a few areas and will see major releases in the coming months beginning with Denmark next week, followed by other territories including Norway and concluding with its release in Japan on April 23rd. All these territories should help add significantly to its International takings and help the movie surpass more expectations and triple it's budget.
Thus, in closing, many people out there want to see a big-screen adaptation of Rick Yancey's sequel novel 'The Infinite Sea'. And although many seem to have written the possibility of a sequel off - upon closer analysis, it actually looks like the sequels stand a strong chance of happening. Between the global takings, Sony's obvious knowledge of its release date and the film's consistent ability to continually defy expectations: The 5th Wave franchise is still alive and well!Check out the Trailer for The 5th Wave Below: