This weekend looks like it will be big. With Zootopia's second weekend and 3 newcomers looking to do solid business, business should be about as strong as it was last weekend. So, here is the forecast for the weekend.
Zootopia is likely to repeat in the top spot at the box office this weekend. While 3 new films are opening nationwide and all are likely to do decent business, none are likely to break out in a major way. Besides, Zootopia was very well reviewed and it is new so that should keep it from falling too hard. It should end up in the mid to high $40 millions for the weekend.
2. 10 Cloverfield Lane
It is unclear whether this is a sequel to 2008's Cloverfield based on what I have found regarding the project. It is not directed by JJ Abrams, though he is the producer like he was for Cloverfield. His name has been in the marketing and it is just coming off the heels of his most recent mega hit, Star Wars 7. It is receiving strong early word of mouth but this is not a project people were aware of until very recently. I would not normally bet against Abrams, but this is likely to come in second. The lack of built up anticipation will hold it back, but if enough people associate Abrams with the project, it will be somewhat strong and open to about as much as Super 8 did. My prediction is that it will open in the low to mid $30 millions for the weekend.
3. The Brothers Grimsby
The Brothers Grimsby looks like it will do solid business in third place. Goofy action comedies have been doing well as of late. Although, early word of mouth is mixed, so it is not likely to go too high. It should open in the mid to high $10 millions for the weekend.
4. London Has Fallen
London has Fallen had a decent opening and decent reviews, but it is likely to take a fairly big drop in the face of 10 Cloverfield Lane. It should earn in the low to mid $10 millions for the weekend.
5. The Young Messiah
There has not been much advertising for this film and it looks like it will appeal exclusively to those familiar with the biblical source material. However, for those who do know that it is about Jesus Christ's early years and his family, they may be intrigued enough to give this film a look. It should open in the low to mid $10 millions for the weekend.
Here is my official prediction for the top 5 for the weekend. Note: If there are percentages in parentheses, it represents a drop from the previous weekend. If there are no percentages in parentheses, the film is opening nationwide this weekend.
1. Zootopia: $47 million (-37%)
2. 10 Cloverfield Lane: $30.5 million
3. The Brothers Grimsby: $17.5 million
4. London Has Fallen: $12 million (-45%)
5. The Young Messiah: $10.3 million