ByReece Paquin, writer at Creators.co
I enjoy watching films and discussing them in terms of quality and how they perform financially.
Reece Paquin

Hey everyone. I am about to predict the box office performance of this Summer's potential blockbusters. I will predict a domestic opening weekend, a final domestic total and a final worldwide total. I will not be ranking my predictions from highest to lowest grossing, but I will work my way from May to the end of the Summer movie season. The Summer movie season goes from the first full weekend of May through Labor Day. It looks to be another really packed Summer season. Some films from the Summer season will be left out here and that is because I am only predicting for the films I expect to earn over $200 million worldwide. So without further ado, here are my predictions for Summer 2016 at the box office.


Captain America: Civil War (May 6)


Kicking off the Summer season is what is arguably the most anticipated film this year. Early reactions have been very encouraging and it promises a very memorable battle between former allies Captain America and Iron Man. It is likely to open in between Iron Man 3 ($174.1 million) and The Avengers 2 ($191.3 million). Unfortunately, it only has three weeks before X-Men Apocalypse which gives the film a ceiling domestically. However, it will really break out overseas and become one of the highest grossing films of all time.

Domestic Opening Weekend: $178 million

Final Domestic Total: $491 million

Final Worldwide Total: $1.558 billion


Angry Birds (May 20)


The first animated film of the Summer is Angry Birds. There should be some nostalgia from the game that came about in 2010. It is giving off a strong Lego Movie vibe. The argument could be made that there is less nostalgia for Angry Birds than there is for the Lego brand. However, Zootopia is going to be pretty much played out by the time Angry Birds arrives and family audiences will be wanting something new. When The Lego Movie came out in 2014, Frozen was still going fairly strong, but since Zootopia will be almost played out, that leads me to believe it may do better than The Lego Movie.

Domestic Opening Weekend: $76 million

Final Domestic Total: $266 million

Final Worldwide Total: $532 million


Neighbors 2 (May 20)


Neighbors 2 looks like it could be well attended by those who enjoyed the first. Everyone from the original is back and then some. The original opened to $49 million and closed to $150.2 million. It is unlikely that it will do better, though, since it is basically the same premise except with a sorority instead of a fraternity. It should not do badly, but it is likely to earn less than the first.

Domestic Opening Weekend: $44 million

Final Domestic Total: $121 million

Final Worldwide Total: $233 million


Alice Through the Looking Glass (May 27)


The sequel to the 2010 hit Alice in Wonderland is here. That film had an opening weekend of $116.1 million and closed to $334.2 million domestically, while earning $1.025 billion worldwide. The sequel, however, does not look like it will be in nearly as good of shape. Many factors are working against it. Johnny Depp's career has been suffering lately and it could be possible that he does not have the same effect on audiences as he once did. Also, Tim Burton is not in the director's chair this time. Replacing him is James Bobbin who directed The Muppets and Muppets Most Wanted among few others. He does not seem to have the same long history of films under his belt that Burton has. That might make the film suffer at the box office. However, one thing it has working in its favor is the time travel story, which audiences seem to enjoy. However, it looks like it will take a considerable drop from its predecessor at the box office.

Domestic Opening Weekend: $61 million

Final Domestic Total: $172 million

Final Worldwide Total: $522 million


X-Men: Apocalypse (May 27)


The next X-Men film is here and it looks to be the first to get past $1 billion worldwide. Domestically, though I have a feeling it will fall short of Deadpool's cumulative gross ($358.4 million and counting), because it is put at a disadvantage by opening three weeks after Civil War. It should not be far behind Deadpool in the domestic market anyway, because there is still a great deal of anticipation for it. It would be surprising if it fails to upset the Memorial Day Weekend opening record set by Pirates of the Caribbean 3 ($114.7 million) in 2007.

Domestic Opening Weekend: $130 million

Final Domestic Total: $355 million

Final Worldwide Total: $1.191 billion


Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 2 (June 3)


In August 2014, the original shocked everyone when it opened to $65.6 million and had long enough legs to carry it to $191.2 million, despite bad reviews. The sequel is here now, but I do not see it doing better. It is not being directed by Michael Bay this time, which is disappointing to some, because they think they will not get to see as many explosions. Also, sequels to poorly received films tend to do worse and the same is likely true here.

Domestic Opening Weekend: $52 million

Final Domestic Total: $149 million

Final Worldwide Total: $454 million


The Conjuring 2 (June 10)


Back in 2013, The Conjuring was a horror hit that nobody saw coming. It opened to $41.9 million and held up well for a horror film, earning a total of $137.4 million. The sequel is likely to open slightly higher, but not have the same staying power the original did.

Domestic Opening Weekend: $42 million

Final Domestic Total: $103 million

Final Worldwide Total: $258 million


Now You See Me 2 (June 10)


In 2013, the original was a sleeper hit. It opened to $29.4 million on its way to $117.7 million. The sequel looks to improve upon the original considerably, because it left audiences asking a lot of questions. It is being marketed as another fun adventure. Also, bringing Daniel Radcliffe into the mix seemed to be a great way to market the film. It should also be much stronger overseas than the original as sequels tend to be.

Domestic Opening Weekend: $44 million

Final Domestic Total: $144 million

Final Worldwide Total: $465 million


Warcraft (June 10)


This Summer also offers computer/video game adaptation Warcraft. Normally, game based films tend to be a risky venture at the box office. However, this gaming sensation has been around since the early 2000's and many of us grew up with it, so it has nostalgia working in its favor and has a chance at a strong performance. It also looks like it could be in line for a strong overseas performance as well.

Domestic Opening Weekend: $51 million

Final Domestic Total: $169 million

Final Worldwide Total: $602 million


Central Intelligence (June 17)


This film looks funny from early trailers. Kevin Hart seems to have a recent string of hits up his sleeve such as the Ride Along films. This could open fairly high, but if it is poorly reviewed, it is not likely to have very long legs.

Domestic Opening Weekend: $41 million

Final Domestic Total: $110 million

Final Worldwide Total: $215 million


Finding Dory (June 17)


Finding Nemo became a classic in 2003. It opened to $70.3 million on its way to $339.7 million, but it cheated and had a 3d re-release in 2012 that pushed its domestic total to $380.8 million. The sequel is likely to open higher due to excitement about seeing the beloved characters return to the big screen 13 years later. However, it is not likely to have the staying power of the original.

Domestic Opening Weekend: $83 million

Final Domestic Total: $268 million

Final Worldwide Total: $716 million


Independence Day 2 (June 24)


The original Independence Day film came out in 1996 and was a big hit. It opened to $50.2 million on its way to a domestic total of $306.2 million. It should open far higher than that due to nostalgia, but the premise is essentially the same and it is likely to close a tad short of its predecessor.

Domestic Opening Weekend: $102 million

Final Domestic Total: $302 million

Final Worldwide Total: $935 million


The BFG (July 1)


This is the film adaptation of the classic children's book by Roald Dahl. It is not one of the higher profile films of the Summer, but it should make up for that overseas.

Domestic Opening Weekend: $28 million

Final Domestic Total: $86 million

Final Worldwide Total: $205 million


The Legend of Tarzan (July 1)


The Legend of Tarzan looks like it might not do that well domestically, because it is the second attempt at a live action remake this year after The Jungle Book. It should do decently overseas, though.

Domestic Opening Weekend: $27 million

Final Domestic Total: $80 million

Final Worldwide Total: $215 million


The Secret Life of Pets (July 8)


The third animated film this Summer is likely to do strong business. The Despicable Me connection has been emphasized a great deal in the marketing, which should help. However, it is not likely to get to Despicable Me level earnings for two reasons. One is that families may be burnt out on animation by this point after Angry Birds and Finding Dory. It also has only 2 weeks before the fifth Ice Age. It should not open too high, but it will have long legs if it is good.

Domestic Opening Weekend: $40 million

Final Domestic Total: $163 million

Final Worldwide Total: $328 million


Ghostbusters (July 15)


This project is one of the wild cards of the Summer. It is a remake of Ghostbusters but with a female cast. Many think it is a bizarre move, but people who are curious may give it a look. It might not get that far, though, if it ends up being negatively received.

Domestic Opening Weekend: $38 million

Final Domestic Total: $112 million

Final Worldwide Total: $225 million


Ice Age: Collision Course (July 22)


Ice Age seems to be one of the franchises that has run its course awhile ago, but is still continuing. The reason for that is probably the strength the Ice Age brand has in foreign markets. This one is being dubbed "the defining chapter," which hopefully means the last. It will definitely suffer domestically for two reasons. One is that after three strong animated offerings this Summer, families will be tiring of the animation department. The other is that the franchise really should have stopped two films ago and franchise fatigue will be evident. Domestically, it will do much worse than the others, but it will do disproportionately well overseas as the others have.

Domestic Opening Weekend: $34 million

Final Domestic Total: $106 million

Final Worldwide Total: $504 million


Star Trek Beyond (July 22)


This is the third entry in the Star Trek reboot series. JJ Abrams is not in the director's chair this time. Replacing him is Justin Lin, who directed Fast and Furious 3, 4, 5, and 6. The vibe the trailer gives off is a questionable one. Still, these are the characters the audience has come to like and, while it may fall slightly behind Into Darkness, it will compensate for that with its overseas earnings.

Domestic Opening Weekend: $75 million

Final Domestic Total: $227 million

Final Worldwide Total: $523 million


Jason Bourne (July 29)


This is the fifth entry in the Jason Bourne franchise. In 2012's The Bourne Legacy, Jeremy Renner took over, but the film was not enthusiastically received and only reached $113.2 million. Even though Matt Damon is back, the damage may have already been done. If Terminator: Genysis taught us anything last Summer, it is that the return of a solid actor will not necessary help a film do well.

Domestic Opening Weekend: $21 million

Final Domestic Total: $58 million

Final Worldwide Total: $226 million


Suicide Squad (August 5)


The last potential blockbuster of the Summer is Suicide Squad. The comic book films are really looking to earn a lot this year, and this one is no different. The possibility of this being rated R is very high. Deadpool's unprecedented success might inspire them to give this an R rating. Regardless, though, it should take the August opening weekend record away from Guardians of the Galaxy ($94.3 million) with ease. It will get pretty far domestically, but its domestic/overseas ratio should be roughly the same because of how raunchy and violent this film promises to be.

Domestic Opening Weekend: $126 million

Final Domestic Total: $396 million

Final Worldwide Total: $856 million

Trending

Latest from our Creators